FedEx is set to report Q3 results after the close today with a conference call to follow at 5pm ET.  Current Capital IQ expectations stand at EPS of $2.62 on Revenues of $14.99 bln.

The transports have been one of the keys to help break the market today as they broke below its 50-sma. FDX is by far the largest component of the Dow Jones Transportation Average making up nearly 13% compared to the second component Norfolk Southern (NSC) which is approx 7%. 


  • For FY17 FDX expects EPS in the range of $11.85-12.35.
  • Capital spending forecast for the fiscal year, which includes TNT Express, is $5.6 billion
  • U.S.
    • Expect US GDP growth of 2.2% in calendar '17, anchored by continued robust consumer spending and strong business investment. Industrial production should rebound after contracting 0.9% in calendar '16 to a forecast 1.6% growth next year.
  • Global
    • For the global economy, forecast growth of 2.2% for calendar '16 and 2.6% for calendar '17.

Q2 Results

FDX reported Q2 (Nov) earnings of $2.80 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.11 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of $2.91. Revenues rose 19.2% year/year to $14.9 bln vs the $14.91 bln Capital IQ Consensus.


Shares of FDX have been holding in a tight range despite today's selling. Shares have been bouncing around $190-198 over the last seven months. 

A bad result may bring the 50-sma ($191.15) and the 100-sma ($189.5) into play. Poor guidance  selling could intensify which would put further pressure on markets tomorrow. UPS has a similar scenario and bled for two days following their weaker than anticipated report.